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Statistics & Reliability Discussion Meeting: August 11
Friends,
Please forward this invitation to your colleagues, and RSVP to
me (
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) if you plan to attend.
The Statistics & Reliability Discussion Group cordially invites you to
attend an outstanding FREE presentation:
Topic: Multiple Comparisons of Binomials with Applications
to The Super Bowl Theory
Speaker: Dr. Jack Tomsky Host: Dr. John Flaig
Abstract:
Whereas a hypothesis test gives a yes or no dichotomous decision
as to whether the null hypothesis should be accepted, the inversion
into a confidence region give a corresponding quantitative measure
for the parameter in question. By formulating the null hypothesis
as the intersection of a set of component hypotheses, a set of
simultaneous confidence intervals (that is, multiple comparisons)
is constructed.
Multiple comparisons is a tool for determining which comparisons
are responsible for the overall test of a null hypothesis being rejected.
This talk extends the application of this concept from the well-known
ANOVA comparison of normal means to a comparison of several
binomial distributions.
The technique is then applied to the Super Bowl Theory, a theory
which predicts whether the stock market will rise or fall for the
year depending on the outcome of the Super Bowl football game.
Biography:
Jack Tomsky is a statistical consultant. He wrote his Stanford PhD dissertation in multivariate analysis. Dr. Tomsky worked for Bristol-Myers, IBM, Lockheed-Martin, and Dade Behring in a previous life.
Please RSVP
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at least two days prior to the meeting if possible.
MEETING DETAILS
6:00 to 6:30 pm Introductions and Networking
6:30 to 7:30 pm Presentation
7:30 to 8:00 pm Question and Answer Session
MEETING LOCATION
Applied Materials
Bowers Cafe (aka Campus Cafe)
3090 Bowers Ave.
Santa Clara, CA. 95054 (see directions below)
MEETING SCHEDULE
Our 2010 scheduled speakers and topics:
(all meetings are on the second Wednesday of each month)
* = Joint ASQ and IEEE meeting
Jan 13*- Dr. Laura Higgins – Interactive Reliability Analysis: A New Take on the Classics
Feb 10* - Mr. Fred Schenkelberg – Equipment Availability based on Reliability Analysis
Mar 10 - Mr. Ed Russell - Project Ranking
Apr 14 - DOE Panel Discussion (Bring your questions)
May 12 - Dr. Karl Mathia - Performance Criteria and Measurements for Substrate-Handling Robots, and Karl's New Book (copies will be available)
Jun 9 - Dr. John Flaig – Some Quality Engineering Controversies
Jul 14 - Reliability Panel Discussion (Bring your questions)
Aug 11 - Dr. Jack Tomsky - Multiple Comparisons of Binomials with Applications to The Super Bowl Theory
Sep 8 - Dr. Reza Azarkhail - Bayesian Inference Techniques for Uncertainty Management
Oct 13 - SPC and Sampling Panel Discussion (Bring your questions)
Nov 10 - TBD
Nov 10 - Annual Speakers Dinner
Dec - No Meeting, Happy Holidays!
ARCHIVED PRESENTATIONS
To access any of our archived presentation files on the Statistics & Reliability Yahoo Group Site, you need to be a Member of the Group and you NEED to have a Yahoo ID.
If you DO NOT have a Yahoo ID, you will need to create a Yahoo ID first and then go to:
http://tech.groups.yahoo.com/group/Statistics-Reliability_Discussion_Group/
Then, on the Right side, click on the blue box "Join This Group!"
If you DO have a Yahoo ID and are a Member of the Statistics & Reliability Discussion Group, then go to:
http://tech.groups.yahoo.com/group/Statistics-Reliability_Discussion_Group/files
and click on file names you wish to download.
Silly problems that happen often at this Yahoo Group Site:
1. Files cannot be downloaded! The problems are usually with Yahoo. So, you may need to try again later.
2. It is a good idea to reset your computer by restarting again, or shutdown and wait a minute or two then restart again.
3. Finally, check to make sure your computer is set up to accept at least 3MB files.
NEWS
1. If you attend a Statistics & Reliability Discussion Group meeting, you will earn .2 recertification units for "professional development" from the American Society for Quality (ASQ).
2. Our Future Presentations
We are always looking for interesting topics and great speakers for our meetings. If you are interested in making a presentation to our group or know of someone who would be a great speaker, please email me (
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) with your suggestions.
Potential speakers should review our Yahoo Groups website file "Presentation Pointers" to get some helpful suggestions for making a great presentation.
So far our planned 2011 program schedule looks like this:
Jan* - Dr. Laura Higgins - New Reliability tools in JMP 9
Feb -
Mar - Mr. Ed Russell - Median Plains in Hyperspace
Apr - DOE Panel Discussion (Bring your questions)
May -
Jun -
Jul - Reliability Panel Discussion (Bring your questions)
Aug -
Sep -
Oct - SPC and Sampling Panel Discussion (Bring your questions)
Nov -
Nov - Speakers Dinner
Dec - No Meeting, Happy Holidays!
3. Training and Consulting Services from Applied Technology
Applied Technology provides training classes and consulting services in the following areas:
Statistical Process Control, Design of Experiments, Robust Process Design, Process Capability Analysis, Measurement Systems Analysis, Statistics, Reliability, Failure Mode and Effects Analysis, Lean, Six Sigma, Supplier Management, ISO, Sampling, Data Mining Quality Function Deployment, 5S, and 8D Problem Solving.
For more information contact Rosetrina at:
Applied Technology
1237 Clark Way
San Jose, CA 95125
Tel: (408) 266-5174
Email:
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Website: www.e-AT-USA.com
4. JMP/SAS
JMP offers a free training class at 10:00 am Friday of each week to those interested in learning more about JMP. Please see the JMP website www.JMP.com and search for webinars. You can also download a free 30 day trial of JMP 8.0 from their website.
5. Upcoming Reliability Seminars at Quanta Labs
For more details contact Mr. Terry Liu
Quanta Laboratories
3199 De La Cruz Blvd.
Santa Clara, CA 95054
Tel: (408) 988-0770
Email:
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Website: www.quantalabs.com
6. American Society for Quality
The Silicon Valley Section of the ASQ is looking for individuals that would be interested in joining the Leadership Team. The team sets direction and selects activities for our section. Several positions are available where your skills can be used to manage one of the largest and most active chapters of the American Society for Quality. For more information please contact the section chair Deborah Blackmon at
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.
7. Scholarships and Awards
The Silicon Valley section of the ASQ offers scholarship awards in the amount of $1000 to students attending local colleges. The section also sponsors a Quality paper competition with prizes of $1000, $500, and $250. Please see the section website for details (www.asq-silicon-valley.org).
8. IEEE
The IEEE SCV Reliability group has the following presentations scheduled
in 2010.
Location: HP - Oak Room, Bldg 48, 1911 Pruneridge Ave , Cupertino, CA
Time: 6:30 pm to 8:00 pm
Map: http://www.ewh.ieee.org/r6/scv/rl/directs.htm
Jan 13 - Joint meeting with ASQ at Applied Materials
Feb -
Mar -
Apr -
May -
June/July/August - No meetings during the summer
Sep -
Oct -
Nov -
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ACKNOWLEDGMENT
These presentations are brought to you through:
1. The generous support of our outstanding speakers.
2. The excellent facility accommodations provided by Applied Materials.
3. The sponsorship of the American Society for Quality (www.ASQ.org).
4. The outstanding program management, planning, and communication provided by Rosetrina Flaig, MBA of Applied Technology (www.e-AT-USA.com).
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DIRECTIONS TO THE STATISTICS & RELIABILITY GROUP MEETING
Applied Materials
Bowers Cafe (aka Campus Cafe)
3090 Bowers Ave.
Santa Clara, CA. 95054 (see map link below)
http://maps.yahoo.com/maps_result?ed=iMAnM.p_0TqlSE32.k9gtGHYPE.M.HgU&csz=Santa+Clara%2C+CA&country=us&new=1&name=&qty=
** From 101 (Going South from Palo Alto):
* Take the Bowers Ave exit and turn right at the light (i.e., go west -- away from Great America).
* Go about 1/2 mile, you will cross Scott Blvd.
* Turn right at the second driveway after passing Scott Blvd. and park in the multistory car park in the rear. There is a bike trail sign near the driveway entrance. If you cross Central Expressway, you have gone too far.
* The Bowers Campus Cafe is behind Applied Materials building #2.
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** From 101 (Going North from San Jose):
* Take the Great America Parkway exit and turn left at the light (i.e., go west -- away from Great America).
* Go about 1/2 mile, you will cross Scott Blvd.
* Turn right at the second driveway after passing Scott Blvd. and park in the multi-story car park in the rear. There is a bike trail sign near the driveway entrance. If you cross Central Expressway, you have gone too far.
* The Bowers Campus Cafe is behind Applied Materials building #2.
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OPT-IN or OUT
If you wish to add someone or be removed from the distribution list, just e-mail me and I will take care of it.
John Flaig (
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)
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